Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Saturday 21st July

Local flooding from surface water is possible across parts of the north of England, north Wales and the north Midlands during Monday and more widely across England and Wales on Tuesday. Land, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

The river flood risk is VERY LOW.

Minor river flooding impacts are possible but not expected in Areas A and B in Specific Areas of Concern Maps 1 and 2 on Monday and Tuesday respectively. This is due to the risk of heavy showers affecting small, fast responding urban catchments.

Some minor river flooding impacts are possible but not expected across parts of the south-east of England and East Anglia during Wednesday as a result of further locally heavy showers. Again, small fast responding urban catchments are most at risk.

Coastal

The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

The surface water flood risk is VERY LOW.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible in Areas A and B in Specific Areas of Concern Maps 1 and 2 on Monday and Tuesday respectively. This is due to the risk of locally heavy showers and thunderstorms.

Some minor surface water flooding impacts are possible but not expected across parts of the south-east of England and East Anglia during Wednesday as a result of further locally heavy showers.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Monday 23rd July

Peterborough, Leicester, Northamptonshire, Rutland, Warwickshire, Redcar and Cleveland, Northumberland, Blackpool, N Yorkshire, Durham, York, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Lancashire, Cumbria, Blackburn with Darwen, Tyne and Wear, Hartlepool, Middlesbrough, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, E Riding of Yorkshire, Staffordshire, Nottinghamshire, Worcestershire, Flintshire, Kingston upon Hull, S Yorkshire, Wrexham, Stoke-on-Trent, NE Lincolnshire, Derby, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Herefordshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Isle of Anglesey, Powys, Warrington, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Telford and Wrekin, Halton, N Lincolnshire, Nottingham, Conwy, Cheshire, Lincolnshire, Merseyside, Leicestershire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Some locally heavy showers. Urban areas most at risk.

Tuesday 24th July

W Berkshire, Nottingham, Lincolnshire, Cambridgeshire, Rutland, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Somerset, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Redcar and Cleveland, Gloucestershire, Bournemouth, Vale of Glamorgan, E Riding of Yorkshire, Staffordshire, N Somerset, Nottinghamshire, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Peterborough, Kingston upon Hull, Hampshire, Cardiff, S Yorkshire, Leicester, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Essex, Newport, Swindon, Stoke-on-Trent, NE Lincolnshire, Wiltshire, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Derby, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Luton, Caerphilly, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, W Midlands, Warwickshire, S Gloucestershire, Devon, Powys, Suffolk, Milton Keynes, Torbay, Northamptonshire, Monmouthshire, Norfolk, York, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Derbyshire, Bristol, Poole, Lancashire, Buckinghamshire, Plymouth, Bath and NE Somerset, Hertfordshire, Pembrokeshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Bridgend, Swansea, N Lincolnshire, Dorset, Cheshire, Bedfordshire, Torfaen, Middlesbrough

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Some locally heavy showers. Urban areas most at risk.

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