Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Sunday 10th December

Local flooding is possible from surface water and rivers in parts of East Anglia and the south-east of England on Monday. Flooding from surface water and rivers is also possible in parts of Wales, the Midlands and the north-west of England on Wednesday and Thursday. Lands, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

Minor river flooding impacts are possible in Area A in Specific Areas of Concern Map 1, and are possible but not expected in other parts of south-east England and Essex, on Monday due to heavy rain. Small, fast responding urban catchments are most at risk.

Minor river flooding impacts are possible on Wednesday and into Thursday in Area B in Specific Areas of Concern Map 2 due to rain and melting lying snow.

The overall river flood risk remains VERY LOW.

Coastal

Minor coastal flooding impacts are possible but not expected, due to gale force winds and large waves, for the south coasts of both England and Wales and along Bristol Channel coasts today, the south coast of England tomorrow and the far south-west of England on Thursday.

The coastal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible on Monday in Area A in Specific Areas of Concern Map 1, and are possible but not expected in other parts of south-east England and Essex, due to heavy rain and strong winds. Wind blown debris may also impede drainage in places.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible on Wednesday and into Thursday in Area B in Specific Areas of Concern Map 2 due to rain and melting lying snow.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible but not expected in parts of south Wales, central southern England and the south Midlands today if snow, which may block drains, is followed by spells of rain.

The overall surface water flood risk remains VERY LOW.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Monday 11th December

Kent, Brighton and Hove, W Sussex, E Sussex

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Wednesday 13th December

Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, S Yorkshire, Newport, Stoke-on-Trent, Ceredigion, Caerphilly, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Derbyshire, Lancashire, Blackburn with Darwen, Halton, Merseyside, Torfaen, Gloucestershire, Staffordshire, Worcestershire, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Shropshire, Herefordshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Warwickshire, Powys, Monmouthshire, Denbighshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Cheshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Flood impacts are possible from rain combining with snowmelt in this area.

Thursday 14th December

Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, S Yorkshire, Newport, Stoke-on-Trent, Ceredigion, Caerphilly, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Derbyshire, Lancashire, Blackburn with Darwen, Halton, Merseyside, Torfaen, Gloucestershire, Staffordshire, Worcestershire, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Shropshire, Herefordshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Warwickshire, Powys, Monmouthshire, Denbighshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Cheshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Flood impacts are possible from rain combining with snowmelt in this area.

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