Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Monday 22nd January

Local flooding is possible from rivers for parts of Wales and the Midlands today (Monday) and on Tuesday. Local flooding from rivers and surface water is possible for parts of the north of England and Wales on Wednesday, with flooding also possible but not expected elsewhere. River flood impacts also possible around the River Severn catchment on Wednesday and Thursday. Land, roads and some properties could flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

The overall river flood risk is VERY LOW.

Minor river flooding impacts are possible in Area A on Specific Areas of Concern Map 1 today (Monday) and on Tuesday. This is due to larger rivers still responding to recent rain in parts of Wales and the Midlands.

Minor river flooding impacts are possible in Areas B, C and D on Specific Areas of Concern Map 2 on Wednesday, with the risk of river flood impacts extending into Thursday for Area C.

Minor river flooding impacts are also possible but not currently expected across other parts of England and Wales during Wednesday.

Coastal

The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days, despite some large waves at times.

Surface

The overall surface water flood risk is VERY LOW.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible in Areas B and D on Specific Areas of Concern Map 2 on Wednesday.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible but not currently expected across other parts of England and Wales during Wednesday.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Monday 22nd January

Gloucestershire, Vale of Glamorgan, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Cardiff, Blaenau Gwent, Newport, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Caerphilly, Herefordshire, Gwynedd, Warwickshire, Powys, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Pembrokeshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Bridgend, Swansea, Torfaen

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Impacts in slower responding rivers lasting through today and Tuesday.

Tuesday 23rd January

Gloucestershire, Vale of Glamorgan, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Cardiff, Blaenau Gwent, Newport, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Caerphilly, Herefordshire, Gwynedd, Warwickshire, Powys, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Pembrokeshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Bridgend, Swansea, Torfaen

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Impacts in slower responding rivers lasting through today and Tuesday.

Wednesday 24th January

Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Northumberland, N Yorkshire, Durham, Lancashire, Cumbria

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Heavy rain and mountain snowmelt may lead to flooding on Wednesday only.

Herefordshire, Gloucestershire, Staffordshire, Worcestershire, Shropshire, Telford and Wrekin

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Impacts for the R. Severn catchment will extend through Wednesday into Thursday.

Gloucestershire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Caerphilly, Herefordshire, Gwynedd, Powys, Monmouthshire, Neath Port Talbot, Denbighshire, Merthyr Tydfil, Bridgend, Swansea, Conwy, Torfaen

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Heavy rain may lead to flooding on Wednesday only.

Thursday 25th January

Herefordshire, Gloucestershire, Staffordshire, Worcestershire, Shropshire, Telford and Wrekin

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Impacts for the R. Severn catchment will extend through Wednesday into Thursday.

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