Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Monday 20th November

Local flooding is possible from rivers and surface water in parts of northern England on Wednesday 22 and Thursday 23 November. Properties could flood and there could be travel disruption. Through parts of Wales local flooding is possible from rivers and surface water for the same time period. Land, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

Significant river flooding impacts are possible but not expected across parts of the north of England from Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday due to heavy and persistent rain falling across high ground in these areas. See Risk Areas A in the Specific Areas of Concern Map.

Minor river flooding impacts are probable for the same period in Risk Area B. In Risk Areas C, minor river flooding impacts are also possible.

The overall river flood risk is LOW.

Coastal

The coastal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

Minor surface water flooding impacts are probable across parts of the north of England from Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday due to heavy and persistent rain falling across high ground in these areas. See Risk Area B in the Areas of Concern Map. This brings a LOW surface water flood risk overall.

Across north-west Wales minor surface water flooding is possible during the same period, see Risk Areas C in the Areas of Concern Map.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Wednesday 22nd November

W Yorkshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact significant

Additional information: Significant impacts possible but not expected from Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday

W Yorkshire, Darlington, Tyne and Wear, Northumberland, N Yorkshire, Durham, Lancashire, Cumbria

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood medium, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood medium, Impact minor

Additional information: Minor impacts probable from Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday.

Gwynedd, Conwy

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Minor impacts possible from Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday.

Thursday 23rd November

W Yorkshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact significant

Additional information: Significant impacts possible but not expected from Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday

W Yorkshire, Darlington, Tyne and Wear, Northumberland, N Yorkshire, Durham, Lancashire, Cumbria

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood medium, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood medium, Impact minor

Additional information: Minor impacts probable from Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday.

Gwynedd, Conwy

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Minor impacts possible from Wednesday afternoon to early Thursday.

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