Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Thursday 21st November

Local river flooding is possible in eastern parts of Yorkshire today (Thursday). Local surface water and river flooding is also possible in south-west England and south-west Wales today (Thursday) and on Friday and more widely across parts of England and Wales on Saturday and into Sunday. Local surface water and river flooding is also possible across parts of the south of England and possible but not expected more widely across England and Wales on Monday. Land, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

The overall river flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Ongoing minor impacts are possible in parts of Yorkshire today as a result of previous rainfall.

Minor river flooding impacts are possible across parts of south-west England and south-west Wales today (Thursday) and tomorrow. This is due to spells of rain and showers falling onto wet catchments.

Minor river flooding impacts are also possible more widely across England and Wales on Saturday and into Sunday and across the south of England on Monday due to rainfall over saturated catchments. Minor river flooding impacts are also possible but not expected more widely across England and Wales on Monday.

Coastal

The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

High tides and unsettled conditions combine early next week however any coastal flooding impacts are currently expected to be minimal.

Surface

The surface water flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible across parts of south-west England and south-west Wales today (Thursday) and tomorrow. This is due to spells of rain and showers falling onto wet ground.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are also possible more widely across England and Wales on Saturday and into Sunday and across the south of England on Monday due to rainfall over saturated catchments. Minor surface water flooding impacts are also possible but not expected more widely across England and Wales on Monday.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Minor groundwater flooding impacts are possible in North Lincolnshire during the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Thursday 21st November

N Yorkshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Minor impacts possible Thursday only as rivers respond to recent rainfall.

Bournemouth, Poole, Ceredigion, Carmarthenshire, Devon, Torbay, Plymouth, Pembrokeshire, Swansea, Dorset, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Somerset

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Heavy rain and showers falling onto wet or saturated catchments.

N Lincolnshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • Ground: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Friday 22nd November

Bournemouth, Poole, Ceredigion, Carmarthenshire, Devon, Torbay, Plymouth, Pembrokeshire, Swansea, Dorset, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Somerset

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Heavy rain and showers falling onto wet or saturated catchments.

N Lincolnshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • Ground: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Saturday 23rd November

N Lincolnshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • Ground: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Warwickshire, Brighton and Hove, Torbay, Norfolk, York, Stockton-on-Tees, Bristol, Poole, Denbighshire, Lancashire, Buckinghamshire, Bath and NE Somerset, Hertfordshire, Cumbria, Blackburn with Darwen, Southampton, Bridgend, Swansea, W Berkshire, Nottingham, E Sussex, Conwy, Lincolnshire, Hartlepool, Reading, Cambridgeshire, Merseyside, Rutland, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Windsor and Maidenhead, Somerset, Wokingham, Portsmouth, Surrey, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Redcar and Cleveland, Gloucestershire, Bournemouth, Medway, Vale of Glamorgan, E Riding of Yorkshire, Staffordshire, N Somerset, Thurrock, Nottinghamshire, Kent, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, Peterborough, Kingston upon Hull, Hampshire, Cardiff, S Yorkshire, Leicester, Northumberland, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Essex, Newport, Swindon, Stoke-on-Trent, NE Lincolnshire, Wiltshire, Gtr London, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Derby, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Luton, Caerphilly, Southend-on-Sea, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Bracknell Forest, S Gloucestershire, Devon, Powys, Suffolk, Durham, Milton Keynes, Northamptonshire, Monmouthshire, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Darlington, Derbyshire, Isle of Wight, Plymouth, Pembrokeshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Halton, Tyne and Wear, N Lincolnshire, W Sussex, Dorset, Slough, Cheshire, Bedfordshire, Torfaen, Middlesbrough

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: River impacts continue into Sunday.

Sunday 24th November

N Lincolnshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • Ground: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Warwickshire, Brighton and Hove, Torbay, Norfolk, York, Stockton-on-Tees, Bristol, Poole, Denbighshire, Lancashire, Buckinghamshire, Bath and NE Somerset, Hertfordshire, Cumbria, Blackburn with Darwen, Southampton, Bridgend, Swansea, W Berkshire, Nottingham, E Sussex, Conwy, Lincolnshire, Hartlepool, Reading, Cambridgeshire, Merseyside, Rutland, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Windsor and Maidenhead, Somerset, Wokingham, Portsmouth, Surrey, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Redcar and Cleveland, Gloucestershire, Bournemouth, Medway, Vale of Glamorgan, E Riding of Yorkshire, Staffordshire, N Somerset, Thurrock, Nottinghamshire, Kent, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, Peterborough, Kingston upon Hull, Hampshire, Cardiff, S Yorkshire, Leicester, Northumberland, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Essex, Newport, Swindon, Stoke-on-Trent, NE Lincolnshire, Wiltshire, Gtr London, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Derby, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Luton, Caerphilly, Southend-on-Sea, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Bracknell Forest, S Gloucestershire, Devon, Powys, Suffolk, Durham, Milton Keynes, Northamptonshire, Monmouthshire, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Darlington, Derbyshire, Isle of Wight, Plymouth, Pembrokeshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Halton, Tyne and Wear, N Lincolnshire, W Sussex, Dorset, Slough, Cheshire, Bedfordshire, Torfaen, Middlesbrough

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Monday 25th November

Surrey, Bournemouth, Kent, Hampshire, Wiltshire, Devon, Brighton and Hove, Torbay, Poole, Isle of Wight, Plymouth, Southampton, W Sussex, Dorset, E Sussex, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Somerset, Portsmouth

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

N Lincolnshire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • Ground: Likelihood low, Impact minor

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