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Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Monday 2nd February
Ongoing groundwater flooding is probable in parts of the South of England along with river flooding on the Somerset Levels throughout the next five days. Further inland flooding is possible across the South of England later on Monday and on Tuesday and again possible on Thursday into Friday. Land, roads and properties could flood and there could be travel disruption. Coastal flooding is also possible for England’s coasts from Monday to Thursday, with impacts probable on the coasts of the South West of England on Tuesday and Wednesday. Land, roads and properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.
Local inland flooding is possible on Monday and Tuesday and once more on Thursday into Friday in parts of South West and South East Wales. Local coastal flooding possible but not expected around all coasts from Tuesday to Thursday, with impacts possible along the South West coast on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Looking ahead
Unsettled conditions are expected to continue with further low pressure systems from the southwest. Areas that have seen the most rainfall recently are those most likely to see further heavy rain during this period. This could lead to significant flooding impacts at times.
The river flood risk is LOW for the next five days.
Ongoing significant river flooding impacts are possible but not expected in the Somerset Levels for the next five days.
Significant river impacts are also possible in the South of England on Monday and Tuesday due to new rainfall, which may be heavy, with minor impacts possible more widely in parts of England and Wales.
On Thursday and Friday, minor river flooding impacts are again possible in the South West of England and Wales. See Areas of Concern Maps.
The coastal/tidal flood risk is LOW on Tuesday and Wednesday.
Minor coastal/tidal flooding impacts are probable along parts of the South West coast of England on Tuesday and Wednesday. Minor coastal/tidal flooding impacts are possible more widely for England and Wales from Monday to Thursday. Minor impacts are possible but not expected more widely still for England, and parts of Wales. See Areas of Concern Maps.
The surface water flood risk is LOW on Monday and Tuesday.
Significant surface water flooding impacts are possible but not expected for parts of the South of England on Monday and Tuesday, with minor impacts possible more widely across England and Wales.
Minor surface water flooding impacts are again possible on Thursday and Friday. See Areas of Concern Maps.
Impacts could include localised flooding from urban and fast responding smaller watercourses/catchments, drains, channels and flooding from overland flow.
The groundwater flood risk is MEDIUM for the next five days.
Significant groundwater flooding impacts are probable in parts of Dorset and Wiltshire, with minor impacts possible for parts of Hampshire for the next five days. See Areas of Concern Maps.
Somerset
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Ongoing river impacts in Somerset Levels.
Redcar and Cleveland, Durham, E Riding of Yorkshire, Tyne and Wear, N Yorkshire, Stockton-on-Tees, Northumberland, Hartlepool
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Minor coastal impacts possible.
Portsmouth, Southampton, Wiltshire, Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Dorset, Somerset, Poole, Bournemouth
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Persistent and heavy rain may lead to significant flooding impacts.
Portsmouth, Southampton, Isle of Wight, Merthyr Tydfil, Swansea, Dorset, Bristol, N Somerset, Torfaen, Caerphilly, Gloucestershire, Cardiff, Newport, S Gloucestershire, Carmarthenshire, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Herefordshire, Hampshire, Powys, Bournemouth, Vale of Glamorgan, Ceredigion, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Monmouthshire, Devon, Bridgend, Blaenau Gwent, Bath and NE Somerset, Plymouth, Poole, Pembrokeshire, Wiltshire, Somerset, Torbay, Neath Port Talbot
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Persistent and heavy rain may lead to flooding impacts.
Dorset, Devon, Somerset, Torbay, Plymouth, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Significant surface water flooding impacts possible but not expected due to heavy rain.
Hampshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Dorset, Wiltshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Somerset
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Ongoing river impacts in Somerset Levels.
Ceredigion, Carmarthenshire, Pembrokeshire, Swansea
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Minor coastal impacts possible.
Portsmouth, Southampton, Wiltshire, Hampshire, Isle of Wight, Dorset, Somerset, Poole, Bournemouth
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Persistent and heavy rain may lead to significant flooding impacts.
Cornwall & Isles of Scilly
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Minor coastal impacts probable around high tides.
Portsmouth, Southampton, Isle of Wight, Merthyr Tydfil, Swansea, Dorset, Bristol, N Somerset, Torfaen, Caerphilly, Gloucestershire, Cardiff, Newport, S Gloucestershire, Carmarthenshire, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Herefordshire, Hampshire, Powys, Bournemouth, Vale of Glamorgan, Ceredigion, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Monmouthshire, Devon, Bridgend, Blaenau Gwent, Bath and NE Somerset, Plymouth, Poole, Pembrokeshire, Wiltshire, Somerset, Torbay, Neath Port Talbot
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Persistent and heavy rain may lead to flooding impacts.
Dorset, Devon, Somerset, Torbay, Plymouth, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Significant surface water flooding impacts possible but not expected due to heavy rain.
Hampshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Dorset, Wiltshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Somerset
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Ongoing river impacts in Somerset Levels.
Ceredigion, Carmarthenshire, Pembrokeshire, Swansea
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Minor coastal impacts possible.
Cornwall & Isles of Scilly
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Minor coastal impacts probable around high tides.
Hampshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Dorset, Wiltshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Somerset
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Ongoing river impacts in Somerset Levels.
Plymouth, Poole, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Dorset, Devon, Torbay, Bournemouth
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Minor coastal impacts possible around high tides.
Merthyr Tydfil, Swansea, Bristol, N Somerset, Torfaen, Caerphilly, Gloucestershire, Cardiff, Newport, S Gloucestershire, Carmarthenshire, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Herefordshire, Powys, Vale of Glamorgan, Portsmouth, Southampton, Monmouthshire, Bridgend, Blaenau Gwent, Bath and NE Somerset, Pembrokeshire, Neath Port Talbot, Isle of Wight, Plymouth, Poole, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Wiltshire, Hampshire, Dorset, Devon, Somerset, Torbay, Bournemouth
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Further inland flooding impacts possible from heavy rain.
Hampshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Dorset, Wiltshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Somerset
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Ongoing river impacts in Somerset Levels.
Merthyr Tydfil, Swansea, Bristol, N Somerset, Torfaen, Caerphilly, Gloucestershire, Cardiff, Newport, S Gloucestershire, Carmarthenshire, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Herefordshire, Powys, Vale of Glamorgan, Portsmouth, Southampton, Monmouthshire, Bridgend, Blaenau Gwent, Bath and NE Somerset, Pembrokeshire, Neath Port Talbot, Isle of Wight, Plymouth, Poole, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Wiltshire, Hampshire, Dorset, Devon, Somerset, Torbay, Bournemouth
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Further inland flooding impacts possible from heavy rain.
Hampshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.
Dorset, Wiltshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: High groundwater levels.