Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Monday 23rd July

Local flooding from surface water is possible but not expected in parts of Wales and the north of England today (Monday) and into Tuesday. Local flooding from surface water is also possible for parts of England and Wales from Tuesday to Friday, mainly in central/south-east England. Land, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

The river flood risk is VERY LOW.

Minor river flooding impacts are possible but not expected in Areas A and B in Specific Areas of Concern Maps 1 and 2 from Tuesday through until Friday. This is due to the risk of heavy showers affecting small, fast responding urban catchments.

Minor river impacts are also possible but not expected across parts of central and northern England today (Monday) and Tuesday due to the potential for heavy showers.

Coastal

The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

The surface water flood risk is VERY LOW.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible in Areas A and B in Specific Areas of Concern Maps 1 and 2 from Tuesday through until Friday. This is due to the risk of locally heavy showers and thunderstorms.

Minor surface water impacts are also possible but not expected across parts of central and northern England and Wales today (Monday) and Tuesday due to the potential for heavy showers.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Monday 23rd July

Flintshire, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, E Riding of Yorkshire, Staffordshire, Nottinghamshire, Kingston upon Hull, S Yorkshire, Wrexham, Stoke-on-Trent, NE Lincolnshire, Derby, Shropshire, N Yorkshire, W Midlands, Warwickshire, Powys, York, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Telford and Wrekin, N Lincolnshire, Nottingham, Cheshire, Lincolnshire, Leicestershire

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Some locally heavy afternoon showers. Urban areas most at risk.

Tuesday 24th July

Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Redcar and Cleveland, Staffordshire, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, S Yorkshire, Northumberland, Wrexham, Stoke-on-Trent, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Blackpool, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Powys, Durham, York, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Lancashire, Cumbria, Blackburn with Darwen, Pembrokeshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Halton, Tyne and Wear, Bridgend, Swansea, Conwy, Cheshire, Hartlepool, Merseyside, Middlesbrough

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood very low, Impact minor

Additional information: Some locally heavy showers. Urban areas most at risk.

Leicester, Warwickshire, Milton Keynes, Northamptonshire, Isle of Wight, Southampton, W Berkshire, Reading, Rutland, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Portsmouth, Surrey, Medway, Thurrock, Kent, Peterborough, Hampshire, Essex, Gtr London, Luton, Southend-on-Sea, Bracknell Forest, Brighton and Hove, Suffolk, Norfolk, Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire, W Sussex, E Sussex, Slough, Lincolnshire, Cambridgeshire, Bedfordshire, Windsor and Maidenhead, Wokingham

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Some locally heavy afternoon showers (each day). Urban areas most at risk.

Wednesday 25th July

Leicester, Warwickshire, Milton Keynes, Northamptonshire, Isle of Wight, Southampton, W Berkshire, Reading, Rutland, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Portsmouth, Surrey, Medway, Thurrock, Kent, Peterborough, Hampshire, Essex, Gtr London, Luton, Southend-on-Sea, Bracknell Forest, Brighton and Hove, Suffolk, Norfolk, Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire, W Sussex, E Sussex, Slough, Lincolnshire, Cambridgeshire, Bedfordshire, Windsor and Maidenhead, Wokingham

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Some locally heavy afternoon showers (each day). Urban areas most at risk.

Thursday 26th July

Leicester, Warwickshire, Milton Keynes, Northamptonshire, Isle of Wight, Southampton, W Berkshire, Reading, Rutland, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Portsmouth, Surrey, Medway, Thurrock, Kent, Peterborough, Hampshire, Essex, Gtr London, Luton, Southend-on-Sea, Bracknell Forest, Brighton and Hove, Suffolk, Norfolk, Buckinghamshire, Hertfordshire, W Sussex, E Sussex, Slough, Lincolnshire, Cambridgeshire, Bedfordshire, Windsor and Maidenhead, Wokingham

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Some locally heavy afternoon showers (each day). Urban areas most at risk.

Friday 27th July

Isle of Anglesey, Pembrokeshire, Warwickshire, Brighton and Hove, Torbay, Norfolk, York, Stockton-on-Tees, Bristol, Poole, Denbighshire, Lancashire, Buckinghamshire, Bath and NE Somerset, Hertfordshire, Cumbria, Blackburn with Darwen, Southampton, Bridgend, Swansea, W Berkshire, Nottingham, E Sussex, Conwy, Lincolnshire, Hartlepool, Reading, Cambridgeshire, Merseyside, Rutland, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Windsor and Maidenhead, Somerset, Wokingham, Portsmouth, Surrey, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Redcar and Cleveland, Gloucestershire, Bournemouth, Medway, Vale of Glamorgan, E Riding of Yorkshire, Staffordshire, N Somerset, Thurrock, Nottinghamshire, Kent, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, Peterborough, Kingston upon Hull, Hampshire, Cardiff, S Yorkshire, Leicester, Northumberland, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Essex, Newport, Swindon, Stoke-on-Trent, NE Lincolnshire, Wiltshire, Gtr London, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Derby, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Luton, Caerphilly, Southend-on-Sea, Blackpool, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Bracknell Forest, S Gloucestershire, Devon, Powys, Suffolk, Durham, Milton Keynes, Northamptonshire, Monmouthshire, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Darlington, Derbyshire, Isle of Wight, Plymouth, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Halton, Tyne and Wear, N Lincolnshire, W Sussex, Dorset, Slough, Cheshire, Bedfordshire, Torfaen, Middlesbrough

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Local thunderstorms or torrential downpours. Urban areas most at risk.

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