Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Wednesday 16th August

Despite periods of rain and showers at times, the flood risk is very low for the next five days. Local flooding is possible but not expected from surface water in parts of the north of England later today (Wednesday) and into Thursday, and again on Friday. Local flooding is also possible from rivers and surface water in the north-west of England and North Wales on Sunday. Land, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

Looking ahead

There is the potential for significant river and surface water flooding impacts from persistent and heavy rain across parts of the north west of England on Monday. There is currently large uncertainty around this and confidence is very low.

River

The river flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days, despite some persistent rain and heavy showers at times.

On Sunday minor river flooding impacts are possible from persistent and heavy rainfall across parts of the north west of England and Wales.

Coastal

The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

The surface water flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days, despite some persistent rain and heavy showers at times.

Isolated minor surface water flooding impacts are possible but not expected in the north of England later on Wednesday and into Thursday, and again on Friday from heavy rain and showers.

On Sunday further minor surface water impacts are possible from persistent and heavy rainfall across parts of the north west of England and Wales.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Sunday 20th August

Ceredigion, Gwynedd, Powys, Conwy

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Minor river and surface water flooding impacts possible.

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