Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Friday 19th January

Local river and surface water flooding is possible on Sunday and Monday across Wales and parts of the Midlands and the north of England due to a combination of heavy rain and snowmelt. Impacts may include isolated property flooding and road flooding, and there may be some travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

The river flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Minor river flooding impacts are possible in Area A on Specific Areas of Concern Map 1 during Sunday and Monday. This is due to a combination of heavy rainfall during Sunday and again on Monday and some snowmelt.

Minor river flooding impacts are possible but not expected across other parts of England during this period, and also along slower-responding rivers in central England, such as the Severn and Wye, on Tuesday and perhaps into Wednesday.

Coastal

The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

The surface water flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Local minor surface water flooding impacts are possible in Area A on Specific Areas of Concern Map 1 during Sunday and Monday. This is due to a combination of heavy rainfall during Sunday and again on Monday and some snowmelt across saturated catchments.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible but not expected across other parts of England during this period.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Sunday 21st January

Isle of Anglesey, Pembrokeshire, Vale of Glamorgan, Cardiff, Leicester, Newport, Warwickshire, S Gloucestershire, Northamptonshire, Swansea, N Lincolnshire, Nottingham, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Gloucestershire, Staffordshire, Nottinghamshire, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, S Yorkshire, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Stoke-on-Trent, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Derby, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Caerphilly, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Powys, Monmouthshire, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Lancashire, Blackburn with Darwen, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Halton, Bridgend, Conwy, Cheshire, Merseyside, Torfaen

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Impacts from rain and snowmelt combined in the north, mainly rain elsewhere.

Monday 22nd January

Isle of Anglesey, Pembrokeshire, Vale of Glamorgan, Cardiff, Leicester, Newport, Warwickshire, S Gloucestershire, Northamptonshire, Swansea, N Lincolnshire, Nottingham, Oxfordshire, Leicestershire, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Gloucestershire, Staffordshire, Nottinghamshire, Worcestershire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, S Yorkshire, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Stoke-on-Trent, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Derby, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Caerphilly, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, Gwynedd, W Midlands, Powys, Monmouthshire, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Lancashire, Blackburn with Darwen, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Halton, Bridgend, Conwy, Cheshire, Merseyside, Torfaen

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Impacts from rain and snowmelt combined in the north, mainly rain elsewhere.

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