Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Saturday 21st September

Local flooding is probable from surface water across parts of England and Wales during Sunday and is possible but not expected from rivers. Local surface water and river flooding is possible but not expected today (Saturday) across parts of south west England and the south and west of Wales and across England and Wales more widely on Tuesday and Wednesday. Land, roads and some properties could flood and there could be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

The river flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Isolated minor river flooding impacts are possible but not expected in parts of England and Wales on Saturday, Sunday, Tuesday and Wednesday due to thundery showers or bands of heavy rain. Urban and fast responding catchments are most likely to be affected.

Coastal

The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

The surface water flood risk is LOW on Sunday.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are probable on Sunday in parts of England and Wales due to heavy rain or thunderstorms.

Today (Saturday) isolated minor surface water flooding impacts are possible but not expected across parts of south west England and the south and west of Wales due to thundery showers.

On Tuesday and Wednesday, minor surface water flooding impacts are possible but not expected across England and Wales due to the potential for frequent, heavy showers or bands of rain.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Sunday 22nd September

Torfaen, Somerset, Oxfordshire, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Merseyside, Cheshire, Conwy, W Berkshire, Dorset, Swansea, Bridgend, Halton, Merthyr Tydfil, Telford and Wrekin, Southampton, Pembrokeshire, Blackburn with Darwen, Cumbria, Bath and NE Somerset, Plymouth, Isle of Wight, Lancashire, Denbighshire, Poole, Bristol, Neath Port Talbot, Warrington, Monmouthshire, Torbay, Powys, Devon, Isle of Anglesey, S Gloucestershire, Warwickshire, W Midlands, Gwynedd, N Yorkshire, Herefordshire, Blackpool, Caerphilly, Shropshire, Ceredigion, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Wiltshire, Stoke-on-Trent, Swindon, Newport, Wrexham, Blaenau Gwent, Cardiff, Hampshire, Flintshire, Carmarthenshire, Worcestershire, N Somerset, Staffordshire, Vale of Glamorgan, Bournemouth, Gloucestershire, Gtr Manchester, Bedfordshire, Slough, W Sussex, Hertfordshire, Buckinghamshire, Derbyshire, Northamptonshire, Milton Keynes, Bracknell Forest, Luton, Derby, Gtr London, Leicester, S Yorkshire, Nottinghamshire, W Yorkshire, Surrey, Portsmouth, Wokingham, Windsor and Maidenhead, Leicestershire, Rutland, Reading, Nottingham

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood medium, Impact minor

Additional information: Urban areas are most at risk.

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