Five Day Flood Risk Forecast

Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Wednesday 4th August

Local flooding is probable from surface water and rivers today across parts of the north and east of Wales and central and northern England due to heavy thundery showers. Local flooding is also possible more widely. Properties could flood and there could be travel disruption. Flooding is also possible more widely from surface water and rivers across parts of north Wales and central and northern England on Friday and Saturday and to a lesser extent over the rest of England and Wales on Thursday, Friday and Saturday. Land, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.

Read this forecast in Welsh

River

The river flood risk is LOW today (Wednesday), Friday and Saturday.

Significant river flooding impacts are possible but not expected on Friday and Saturday in parts of the north of England and Wales. This is due to heavy showers, which could merge into longer periods of heavy rain. Significant river flooding impacts are generally restricted to small and urban watercourses.

Minor river flooding impacts are probable in parts of north and central England and north Wales today (Wednesday), and also possible more widely on many days due to continued risk of heavy, perhaps thundery showers.

Coastal

The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Surface

The surface water flood risk is LOW today (Wednesday), Friday and Saturday.

Significant surface water flooding impacts are possible but not expected on Friday and Saturday in the north of England and Wales. This is due to heavy showers, which could merge into longer periods of heavy rain.

Minor surface water flooding impacts are probable in parts of north and central England and north Wales today (Wednesday) and also possible more widely on many days due to continued risk of heavy, perhaps thundery showers.

Groundwater

The groundwater flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.

Daily Risk Forecast Maps

Areas Potentially Affected

Wednesday 4th August

Monmouthshire, Powys, Wrexham, Flintshire, Denbighshire, Conwy, Gwynedd, Brighton and Hove, Milton Keynes, Wokingham, Windsor and Maidenhead, Slough, Reading, W Berkshire, Bracknell Forest, Medway, Thurrock, Southend-on-Sea, Luton, Peterborough, Swindon, S Gloucestershire, Stoke-on-Trent, Telford and Wrekin, Herefordshire, Nottingham, Rutland, Leicester, Derby, York, N Lincolnshire, NE Lincolnshire, E Riding of Yorkshire, Kingston upon Hull, Blackpool, Blackburn with Darwen, Warrington, Halton, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Redcar and Cleveland, Middlesbrough, Hartlepool, Worcestershire, Wiltshire, W Sussex, Warwickshire, Surrey, Suffolk, Staffordshire, Shropshire, Oxfordshire, Nottinghamshire, N Yorkshire, Northumberland, Northamptonshire, Norfolk, Lincolnshire, Leicestershire, Lancashire, Kent, Hertfordshire, Hampshire, Gloucestershire, Essex, E Sussex, Durham, Derbyshire, Cumbria, Cheshire, Cambridgeshire, Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire, Gtr Manchester, Gtr London, W Yorkshire, W Midlands, Tyne and Wear, S Yorkshire, Merseyside

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Scattered heavy showers possible late morning and afternoon.

Herefordshire, Powys, Wrexham, Flintshire, Denbighshire, Conwy, Gwynedd, Stoke-on-Trent, Telford and Wrekin, York, E Riding of Yorkshire, Blackpool, Blackburn with Darwen, Warrington, Halton, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Middlesbrough, Hartlepool, Staffordshire, Shropshire, N Yorkshire, Northumberland, Lancashire, Durham, Derbyshire, Cumbria, Cheshire, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Tyne and Wear, S Yorkshire, Merseyside

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood medium, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood medium, Impact minor

Additional information: Heavy showers likely late morning and afternoon.

Thursday 5th August

Pembrokeshire, Torbay, Plymouth, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Cardiff, Newport, Monmouthshire, Torfaen, Blaenau Gwent, Caerphilly, Merthyr Tydfil, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Vale of Glamorgan, Bridgend, Neath Port Talbot, Swansea, Carmarthenshire, Ceredigion, Powys, Wrexham, Flintshire, Denbighshire, Conwy, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Milton Keynes, W Berkshire, Peterborough, Swindon, S Gloucestershire, N Somerset, Bristol, Bath and NE Somerset, Stoke-on-Trent, Telford and Wrekin, Herefordshire, Nottingham, Rutland, Leicester, Derby, York, N Lincolnshire, E Riding of Yorkshire, Blackpool, Blackburn with Darwen, Warrington, Halton, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Redcar and Cleveland, Middlesbrough, Hartlepool, Worcestershire, Wiltshire, Warwickshire, Staffordshire, Somerset, Shropshire, Oxfordshire, Nottinghamshire, N Yorkshire, Northumberland, Northamptonshire, Lincolnshire, Leicestershire, Lancashire, Hampshire, Gloucestershire, Durham, Dorset, Devon, Derbyshire, Cumbria, Cheshire, Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, W Midlands, Tyne and Wear, S Yorkshire, Merseyside

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Scattered heavy showers mainly in the afternoon and evening.

Friday 6th August

Cardiff, Newport, Monmouthshire, Torfaen, Blaenau Gwent, Caerphilly, Merthyr Tydfil, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Vale of Glamorgan, Bridgend, Neath Port Talbot, Swansea, Carmarthenshire, Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Powys, Wrexham, Flintshire, Denbighshire, Conwy, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Isle of Wight, Southampton, Portsmouth, Brighton and Hove, Milton Keynes, Wokingham, Windsor and Maidenhead, Slough, Reading, W Berkshire, Bracknell Forest, Medway, Thurrock, Southend-on-Sea, Luton, Peterborough, Swindon, Poole, Bournemouth, Torbay, Plymouth, S Gloucestershire, N Somerset, Bristol, Bath and NE Somerset, Stoke-on-Trent, Telford and Wrekin, Herefordshire, Nottingham, Rutland, Leicester, Derby, York, N Lincolnshire, NE Lincolnshire, E Riding of Yorkshire, Kingston upon Hull, Blackpool, Blackburn with Darwen, Warrington, Halton, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Redcar and Cleveland, Middlesbrough, Hartlepool, Worcestershire, Wiltshire, W Sussex, Warwickshire, Surrey, Suffolk, Staffordshire, Somerset, Shropshire, Oxfordshire, Nottinghamshire, N Yorkshire, Northumberland, Northamptonshire, Norfolk, Lincolnshire, Leicestershire, Lancashire, Kent, Hertfordshire, Hampshire, Gloucestershire, Essex, E Sussex, Durham, Dorset, Devon, Derbyshire, Cumbria, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Cheshire, Cambridgeshire, Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire, Gtr Manchester, Gtr London, W Yorkshire, W Midlands, Tyne and Wear, S Yorkshire, Merseyside

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Heavy showers and rain bring potential for impacts.

Rutland, Ceredigion, Powys, Wrexham, Flintshire, Denbighshire, Conwy, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Stoke-on-Trent, Telford and Wrekin, Nottingham, Leicester, Derby, York, N Lincolnshire, NE Lincolnshire, E Riding of Yorkshire, Kingston upon Hull, Blackpool, Blackburn with Darwen, Warrington, Halton, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Redcar and Cleveland, Middlesbrough, Hartlepool, Warwickshire, Staffordshire, Shropshire, Nottinghamshire, N Yorkshire, Northumberland, Lincolnshire, Leicestershire, Lancashire, Durham, Derbyshire, Cumbria, Cheshire, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, W Midlands, Tyne and Wear, S Yorkshire, Merseyside

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact significant
  • Surface: Likelihood very low, Impact significant

Additional information: Heavy showers merging into longer spells of rain.

Saturday 7th August

Cardiff, Newport, Monmouthshire, Torfaen, Blaenau Gwent, Caerphilly, Merthyr Tydfil, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Vale of Glamorgan, Bridgend, Neath Port Talbot, Swansea, Carmarthenshire, Pembrokeshire, Ceredigion, Powys, Wrexham, Flintshire, Denbighshire, Conwy, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Isle of Wight, Southampton, Portsmouth, Brighton and Hove, Milton Keynes, Wokingham, Windsor and Maidenhead, Slough, Reading, W Berkshire, Bracknell Forest, Medway, Thurrock, Southend-on-Sea, Luton, Peterborough, Swindon, Poole, Bournemouth, Torbay, Plymouth, S Gloucestershire, N Somerset, Bristol, Bath and NE Somerset, Stoke-on-Trent, Telford and Wrekin, Herefordshire, Nottingham, Rutland, Leicester, Derby, York, N Lincolnshire, NE Lincolnshire, E Riding of Yorkshire, Kingston upon Hull, Blackpool, Blackburn with Darwen, Warrington, Halton, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Redcar and Cleveland, Middlesbrough, Hartlepool, Worcestershire, Wiltshire, W Sussex, Warwickshire, Surrey, Suffolk, Staffordshire, Somerset, Shropshire, Oxfordshire, Nottinghamshire, N Yorkshire, Northumberland, Northamptonshire, Norfolk, Lincolnshire, Leicestershire, Lancashire, Kent, Hertfordshire, Hampshire, Gloucestershire, Essex, E Sussex, Durham, Dorset, Devon, Derbyshire, Cumbria, Cornwall & Isles of Scilly, Cheshire, Cambridgeshire, Buckinghamshire, Bedfordshire, Gtr Manchester, Gtr London, W Yorkshire, W Midlands, Tyne and Wear, S Yorkshire, Merseyside

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood low, Impact minor
  • Surface: Likelihood low, Impact minor

Additional information: Heavy showers and rain bring potential for impacts.

Rutland, Ceredigion, Powys, Wrexham, Flintshire, Denbighshire, Conwy, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Stoke-on-Trent, Telford and Wrekin, Nottingham, Leicester, Derby, York, N Lincolnshire, NE Lincolnshire, E Riding of Yorkshire, Kingston upon Hull, Blackpool, Blackburn with Darwen, Warrington, Halton, Darlington, Stockton-on-Tees, Redcar and Cleveland, Middlesbrough, Hartlepool, Warwickshire, Staffordshire, Shropshire, Nottinghamshire, N Yorkshire, Northumberland, Lincolnshire, Leicestershire, Lancashire, Durham, Derbyshire, Cumbria, Cheshire, Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, W Midlands, Tyne and Wear, S Yorkshire, Merseyside

Source and risk of potential flooding

  • River: Likelihood very low, Impact significant
  • Surface: Likelihood very low, Impact significant

Additional information: Heavy showers merging into longer spells of rain.

RiverLevels.uk is an independent website. It is not associated with the Environment Agency or any other supplier of river level information.

RiverLevels.uk is a Good Stuff website.