Daily Risk Forecast Maps
Forecast issued by the Met Office at 10:30am, Monday 25th January
Local flooding is probable from rivers in parts of north-east England today (Monday), extending into tomorrow for the River Derwent in East Yorkshire. Local flooding is also probable for parts the River Severn until Wednesday. This an ongoing response to rain that has already fallen. Land, roads and some properties could flood and there could be travel disruption. Local flooding from groundwater is probable in parts of North Yorkshire over the next five days. Land, roads and some properties could flood and there could be travel disruption. Local flooding from rivers and surface water is possible in Wales and parts of northern and central England on Thursday and Friday, and is also possible but not expected from rivers elsewhere in central and eastern England. Land, roads and some properties may flood and there may be travel disruption.
Looking ahead
There is potential for further river and surface water flooding in parts of England and Wales. River catchments and ground conditions remain sensitive to further prolonged periods of heavy rain which are considered likely during this period.
The river flood risk is LOW until Wednesday.
Minor river flooding impacts are probable along parts of the River Severn until Wednesday and some other large river catchments today (Monday). This continues into Tuesday for the River Derwent in East Yorkshire.
Minor river flooding impacts are possible across Wales and parts of the north of England, and possible but not expected across central and eastern parts of England on Thursday and Friday due to further rain on sensitive catchments.
The coastal/tidal flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.
The surface water flood risk is VERY LOW for the next five days.
Minor surface water flooding impacts are possible across Wales and parts of the north of England on Thursday and Friday due to the potential for heavy rain on saturated ground.
The groundwater flood risk is LOW for at least the next five days.
Minor groundwater flooding is probable in North Yorkshire in the Malton, Norton and Old Malton area throughout the next five days. Groundwater levels are also high elsewhere, particularly in parts of the south and east of England.
Nottinghamshire, Lincolnshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Risk continuing into Tuesday for the River Derwent in East Yorkshire only.
N Yorkshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Groundwater flooding probable in the Malton, Norton and Old Malton area.
Gloucestershire, Worcestershire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Ongoing impacts for River Severn until Wednesday.
E Riding of Yorkshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
N Yorkshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Groundwater flooding probable in the Malton, Norton and Old Malton area.
Gloucestershire, Worcestershire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Ongoing impacts for River Severn until Wednesday.
N Yorkshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Groundwater flooding probable in the Malton, Norton and Old Malton area.
Gloucestershire, Worcestershire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Ongoing impacts for River Severn until Wednesday.
Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Vale of Glamorgan, Staffordshire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, Cardiff, S Yorkshire, Northumberland, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Newport, Stoke-on-Trent, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Caerphilly, Blackpool, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Powys, Durham, Monmouthshire, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Darlington, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Lancashire, Cumbria, Blackburn with Darwen, Pembrokeshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Halton, Bridgend, Swansea, Conwy, Cheshire, Merseyside, Torfaen
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Further rainfall on sensitive catchments Thursday and Friday.
N Yorkshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Groundwater flooding probable in the Malton, Norton and Old Malton area.
Gtr Manchester, W Yorkshire, Vale of Glamorgan, Staffordshire, Carmarthenshire, Flintshire, Cardiff, S Yorkshire, Northumberland, Blaenau Gwent, Wrexham, Newport, Stoke-on-Trent, Rhondda Cynon Taff, Ceredigion, Shropshire, Caerphilly, Blackpool, Herefordshire, N Yorkshire, Gwynedd, Isle of Anglesey, Powys, Durham, Monmouthshire, Warrington, Neath Port Talbot, Darlington, Derbyshire, Denbighshire, Lancashire, Cumbria, Blackburn with Darwen, Pembrokeshire, Telford and Wrekin, Merthyr Tydfil, Halton, Bridgend, Swansea, Conwy, Cheshire, Merseyside, Torfaen
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Further rainfall on sensitive catchments Thursday and Friday.
N Yorkshire
Source and risk of potential flooding
Additional information: Groundwater flooding probable in the Malton, Norton and Old Malton area.